Amid negotiations with the International Monetary Fund to restart a $6.7 billion bailout programme, Fitch Ratings said that it is unlikely the cash-strapped nation will devalue its currency again as pressure on the rupee has eased.
Krisjanis Krustins, a Hong Kong-based director at Fitch, said: “We currently do not expect a large further devaluation of the Pakistan rupee.”
“Although the currency has been very stable over the past few months, pressure on the reserves [held by] the State Bank of Pakistan has also been contained, which suggests minimal interventions to support the currency,” Krustins said in an emailed response to questions sent by Bloomberg.
The multilateral lender has said it is working with authorities to fix its currency market and other issues before it resumes the bailout programme, which is set to expire this month.
The rupee has slumped more than 20% this year after officials devalued the currency in January, making it one of the worst performers globally. The nation’s dollar stockpile has remained stable at about $4 billion since late February, after falling more than 50% in the past 12 months. Funds will be crucial to prop up the economy beset by supply shortages and avert a sovereign default, with billions of dollars of debt payments approaching. “We continue to assume that the IMF and Pakistan will conclude the ongoing programme review, likely after the IMF has clarity on the budget,” Krustins said.
