THE recent Iran-Israel war has reshaped perceptions, recalibrated alliances and left both regional and global actors reassessing their positions.
Its impact goes far beyond the battlefield, exposing vulnerabilities and transforming geopolitical narratives. Here are ten key outcomes as I see them:
First, the long-standing image of Israel as a military juggernaut has been undeniably shaken. Once perceived as untouchable in its defence and intelligence capabilities, Israel’s aura of invincibility has faded. The notion that it could neutralize any threat with overwhelming precision no longer holds the same weight.
Second, the perceived supremacy of American defence technology—particularly the F-35 stealth fighters—has taken a hit. These jets, symbolic of U.S. air dominance, were thought to be beyond the reach of any adversary. Their exposure during the conflict has punctured that myth and stirred concerns about overreliance on technology without revisiting strategic fundamentals.
Third, new geopolitical contours have come into sharper focus. Reports suggesting India’s covert alignment with Israel in a regime change endeavour have stirred controversy. While unconfirmed, such allegations, paired with the plan’s evident failure, could have lasting implications for India’s regional relationships and its image as a neutral global player.
Fourth, Iran’s stature has risen dramatically across parts of the Muslim world. In countries like Pakistan and across the Arab region, Tehran is now celebrated by many as a symbol of resistance against aggression. This newfound admiration could translate into greater regional influence and soft power for Iran in years to come.
Fifth, the message to smaller or militarily weaker nations is clear: without a credible deterrent, sovereignty remains precarious. This dynamic may embolden states like North Korea and reinforce Pakistan’s commitment to its nuclear program. Many now view nuclear capability not as a luxury, but a necessity for survival.
Sixth, the global balance of power seems to be tilting further east. The war has accelerated a shift in sentiment across the Global South, where China and Russia are increasingly seen as viable alternatives to Western leadership. Anti-U.S. sentiment is on the rise, especially in regions where trust in American diplomacy has already eroded.
Seventh, Israel’s dependence on American support has been laid bare. Far from being an autonomous power, it now appears more as a highly fortified extension of U.S. interests in the Middle East. Its capacity to act is intrinsically tied to Washington’s backing.
Eighth, this dependence raises serious questions within the United States itself. The apparent alignment of American leadership, including both the President and Congress, with Israeli objectives, often without scrutiny, suggests a foreign policy held hostage to allied interests rather than one shaped by independent judgment.
Ninth, in an unexpected but promising shift, sectarian divides within the Muslim world appear to be narrowing. In Pakistan, traditionally conservative groups such as the Deobandi parties have expressed public solidarity with Iran’s position, hinting at a rare moment of pan-Islamic unity.
Tenth, global confidence in the United States as a moral and lawful leader has nosedived. From drone strikes to regime change rhetoric, Washington’s actions now resemble those of a power that operates without regard to international norms, sparking concern about a world order in disrepair.
—The writer is former Civil Servant and nowadays a Senior Technical Advisor affiliated with Institute of Social and Policy Sciences (I-SAPS) Islamabad.
